Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 9:51 PM to 10:20 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 9:51 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 2.02794. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:20 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.37-1.4537.468Oct 6, 9:51 PM ET10:20 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:51 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.37-1.4537.468Oct 6, 9:51 PM ET10:20 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:51 PM ET2.02794
Projected value at 10:20 PM ET-4.10936
Actual value at 10:20 PM ET8.46618
Projected change across the window-6.1373
Actual change across the window+6.43824
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (10:08 PM ET), where they sat 5.09953 apart, and furthest at bar 28 (10:19 PM ET) with a gap of 13.3868. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (10:13 PM ET), a move of +2.39412. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:52 PM-9.711810.0470588+9.75887
69:57 PM-10.4605-1.68603+8.77452
1210:03 PM-11.5727-3.24118+8.33148
1810:09 PM-9.42716-3.70074+5.72642
2410:15 PM-6.541665.07132+11.613
2910:20 PM-4.109368.46618+12.5755

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.