Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 9:39 PM to 10:08 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 9:39 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -3.24118. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:08 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-3.6052.1447.894Oct 6, 9:39 PM ET10:08 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:39 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-3.6052.1447.894Oct 6, 9:39 PM ET10:08 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:39 PM ET-3.24118
Projected value at 10:08 PM ET2.27881
Actual value at 10:08 PM ET3.5375
Projected change across the window+5.51998
Actual change across the window+6.77868
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.81×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.81 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (10:01 PM ET), where they sat 0.0267742 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (9:39 PM ET) with a gap of 9.71199. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (9:49 PM ET), a move of +2.39412. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:40 PM5.68786-3.71544-9.4033
69:45 PM4.58672-3.70074-8.28745
129:51 PM4.087675.07132+0.983655
189:57 PM3.484068.09779+4.61374
2410:03 PM2.068771.18456-0.884207
2910:08 PM2.278813.5375+1.25869

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.