Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 9:33 PM to 10:02 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 9:33 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -3.70074. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:02 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.77-0.52549.714Oct 6, 9:33 PM ET10:02 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:33 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.77-0.52549.714Oct 6, 9:33 PM ET10:02 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:33 PM ET-3.70074
Projected value at 10:02 PM ET5.35838
Actual value at 10:02 PM ET-12.1404
Projected change across the window+9.05911
Actual change across the window-8.43971
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.07×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.07 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 12 (9:44 PM ET), where they sat 1.31525 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (10:02 PM ET) with a gap of 17.4988. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (10:02 PM ET), a move of -3.17279. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:34 PM10.128-3.20147-13.3295
69:39 PM10.43475.07132-5.36335
129:45 PM9.615268.09779-1.51747
189:51 PM8.179181.18456-6.99462
249:57 PM8.205531.88162-6.32392
2910:02 PM5.35838-12.1404-17.4988

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.