Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 9:03 PM to 9:32 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 9:03 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -14.5529. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:32 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-26.34-14.98-3.617Oct 6, 9:03 PM ET9:32 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:03 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-26.34-14.98-3.617Oct 6, 9:03 PM ET9:32 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:03 PM ET-14.5529
Projected value at 9:32 PM ET-3.90675
Actual value at 9:32 PM ET-2.09118
Projected change across the window+10.6462
Actual change across the window+12.4618
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.85×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.85 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (9:30 PM ET), where they sat 0.190124 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (9:08 PM ET) with a gap of 16.931. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (9:13 PM ET), a move of +4.59191. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:04 PM-12.2158-17.3022-5.08638
69:09 PM-11.0817-27.3654-16.2837
129:15 PM-8.72247-7.49779+1.22468
189:21 PM-5.93454-12.0471-6.11252
249:27 PM-5.62069-11.6485-6.02784
299:32 PM-3.90675-2.09118+1.81557

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.