Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 8:51 PM to 9:20 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 8:51 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -8.68676. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:20 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-12.7-6.2860.1315Oct 6, 8:51 PM ET9:20 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:51 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-12.7-6.2860.1315Oct 6, 8:51 PM ET9:20 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:51 PM ET-8.68676
Projected value at 9:20 PM ET-3.58645
Actual value at 9:20 PM ET-4.21838
Projected change across the window+5.10031
Actual change across the window+4.46838
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.14×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.14 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (9:04 PM ET), where they sat 0.0162869 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (9:11 PM ET) with a gap of 10.2291. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (9:07 PM ET), a move of +2.925. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:52 PM-7.95614-7.49779+0.458351
68:57 PM-13.225-12.1213+1.10367
129:03 PM-11.8553-12.9059-1.05058
189:09 PM-9.79213-2.09118+7.70096
249:15 PM-7.00642-3.25515+3.75127
299:20 PM-3.58645-4.21838-0.631932

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.