Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 7:59 PM to 8:28 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 8.82132. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:28 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.8-5.3267.146Oct 6, 7:59 PM ET8:28 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:59 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.8-5.3267.146Oct 6, 7:59 PM ET8:28 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:59 PM ET8.82132
Projected value at 8:28 PM ET-3.27229
Actual value at 8:28 PM ET-11.189
Projected change across the window-12.0936
Actual change across the window-20.0103
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.60×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.60 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 12 (8:10 PM ET), where they sat 0.186626 apart, and furthest at bar 21 (8:20 PM ET) with a gap of 13.848. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (8:08 PM ET), a move of -2.58897. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:00 PM-2.317738.21176+10.5295
68:05 PM-3.528284.30588+7.83416
128:11 PM-5.34014-7.21544-1.8753
188:17 PM-5.63908-17.339-11.6999
248:23 PM-5.51952-18.3213-12.8018
298:28 PM-3.27229-11.189-7.91668

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.