Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 7:57 PM to 8:26 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 7:57 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 7.83824. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:26 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.86-5.8176.221Oct 6, 7:57 PM ET8:26 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:57 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.86-5.8176.221Oct 6, 7:57 PM ET8:26 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:57 PM ET7.83824
Projected value at 8:26 PM ET-3.55777
Actual value at 8:26 PM ET-12.9809
Projected change across the window-11.396
Actual change across the window-20.8191
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.55×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.55 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (8:05 PM ET), where they sat 0.527564 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (8:16 PM ET) with a gap of 13.5269. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (8:04 PM ET), a move of -2.58897. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:58 PM-2.644496.90956+9.55405
68:03 PM-3.177381.40882+4.5862
128:09 PM-4.52066-10.7243-6.20361
188:15 PM-5.9566-19.3551-13.3985
248:21 PM-5.62369-15.1993-9.57558
298:26 PM-3.55777-12.9809-9.42311

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.