Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 7:42 PM to 8:11 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 7:42 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -15.2316. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:11 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.56-3.30910.94Oct 6, 7:42 PM ET8:11 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:42 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.56-3.30910.94Oct 6, 7:42 PM ET8:11 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:42 PM ET-15.2316
Projected value at 8:11 PM ET-0.904376
Actual value at 8:11 PM ET12.8551
Projected change across the window+14.3272
Actual change across the window+28.0868
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.51×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.51 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (8:03 PM ET), where they sat 0.508492 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (8:11 PM ET) with a gap of 13.7595. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (8:04 PM ET), a move of +2.925. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:43 PM-8.90575-17.339-8.43322
67:48 PM-6.97917-18.236-11.2569
127:54 PM-6.33331-11.189-4.85566
188:00 PM-4.64748-11.2287-6.5812
248:06 PM-2.22214.52353+6.74563
298:11 PM-0.90437612.8551+13.7595

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.