Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 7:31 PM to 8:00 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 7:31 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -12.3463. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:00 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-12.311.64815.61Oct 6, 7:31 PM ET8:00 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:31 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-12.311.64815.61Oct 6, 7:31 PM ET8:00 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:31 PM ET-12.3463
Projected value at 8:00 PM ET3.5234
Actual value at 8:00 PM ET0.722059
Projected change across the window+15.8697
Actual change across the window+13.0684
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.21×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.21 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (7:44 PM ET), where they sat 0.331451 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (7:36 PM ET) with a gap of 16.6551. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (8:00 PM ET), a move of -4.775. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:32 PM1.45328-11.189-12.6423
67:37 PM2.921-13.0794-16.0004
127:43 PM4.47182.30588-2.16592
187:49 PM4.1735512.8551+8.68159
247:55 PM4.3294317.2301+12.9007
298:00 PM3.52340.722059-2.80134

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.