Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 6:34 PM to 7:03 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 6:34 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 12.4324. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:03 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-21.45-5.57510.3Oct 6, 6:34 PM ET7:03 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:34 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-21.45-5.57510.3Oct 6, 6:34 PM ET7:03 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:34 PM ET12.4324
Projected value at 7:03 PM ET-4.24477
Actual value at 7:03 PM ET-15.6735
Projected change across the window-16.6771
Actual change across the window-28.1059
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.59×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.59 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (6:43 PM ET), where they sat 1.61939 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (6:34 PM ET) with a gap of 21.3901. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (6:42 PM ET), a move of -6.1125. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:35 PM-9.878178.78235+18.6605
66:40 PM-12.67170.529412+13.2011
126:46 PM-13.009-23.5463-10.5374
186:52 PM-10.5907-22.3059-11.7152
246:58 PM-7.46163-15.3272-7.86558
297:03 PM-4.24477-15.6735-11.4288

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.