Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 6:02 PM to 6:31 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 6:02 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -5.89412. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:31 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-13.81-1.07911.65Oct 6, 6:02 PM ET6:31 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:02 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-13.81-1.07911.65Oct 6, 6:02 PM ET6:31 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:02 PM ET-5.89412
Projected value at 6:31 PM ET4.90394
Actual value at 6:31 PM ET-15.5184
Projected change across the window+10.7981
Actual change across the window-9.62426
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.12×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.12 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (6:17 PM ET), where they sat 5.97417 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (6:31 PM ET) with a gap of 20.4223. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (6:30 PM ET), a move of -4.60882. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:03 PM8.86983-2.82941-11.6992
66:08 PM12.36261.45588-10.9067
126:14 PM12.57982.64265-9.9372
186:20 PM10.4824-0.849265-11.3316
246:26 PM8.04435-4.01544-12.0598
296:31 PM4.90394-15.5184-20.4223

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.