Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 3:00 PM to 3:29 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 35.939. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:29 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-36.8-1.5233.76Oct 6, 3:00 PM ET3:29 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:00 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-36.8-1.5233.76Oct 6, 3:00 PM ET3:29 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:00 PM ET35.939
Projected value at 3:29 PM ET-0.0716837
Actual value at 3:29 PM ET-34.036
Projected change across the window-36.0107
Actual change across the window-69.975
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.51×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.51 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (3:17 PM ET), where they sat 3.95844 apart, and furthest at bar 27 (3:27 PM ET) with a gap of 41.9756. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (3:18 PM ET), a move of -10.2515. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:01 PM9.1841736.0868+26.9026
63:06 PM9.3995735.1596+25.76
123:12 PM6.3930726.4412+20.0481
183:18 PM3.38412-2.42353-5.80765
243:24 PM1.3354-29.7338-31.0692
293:29 PM-0.0716837-34.036-33.9643

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.