Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 12:32 PM to 1:01 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 12:32 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -25.2051. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:01 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-23-6.5789.844Oct 6, 12:32 PM ET1:01 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:32 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-23-6.5789.844Oct 6, 12:32 PM ET1:01 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:32 PM ET-25.2051
Projected value at 1:01 PM ET-11.4443
Actual value at 1:01 PM ET-0.0360294
Projected change across the window+13.7608
Actual change across the window+25.1691
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.55×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.55 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (12:34 PM ET), where they sat 0.3342 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (12:47 PM ET) with a gap of 26.8332. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (12:33 PM ET), a move of +4.26176. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:33 PM-18.7678-20.9434-2.1756
612:38 PM-16.7773-6.49632+10.281
1212:44 PM-15.510410.0309+25.5413
1812:50 PM-15.26458.68824+23.9527
2412:56 PM-13.70058.35441+22.0549
291:01 PM-11.4443-0.0360294+11.4083

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.