Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 12:05 PM to 12:34 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 12:05 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 4.00515. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:34 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.81.21618.23Oct 6, 12:05 PM ET12:34 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:05 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.81.21618.23Oct 6, 12:05 PM ET12:34 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:05 PM ET4.00515
Projected value at 12:34 PM ET-8.54544
Actual value at 12:34 PM ET20.5118
Projected change across the window-12.5506
Actual change across the window+16.5066
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.76×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.76 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (12:07 PM ET), where they sat 15.7432 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (12:34 PM ET) with a gap of 29.0572. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (12:34 PM ET), a move of +3.61691. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:06 PM-14.58472.39118+16.9759
612:11 PM-17.9543-0.883088+17.0712
1212:17 PM-16.62872.07059+18.6993
1812:23 PM-14.31094.18162+18.4925
2412:29 PM-10.38278.83235+19.2151
2912:34 PM-8.5454420.5118+29.0572

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.