Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 11:24 AM to 11:53 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 45.2426. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:53 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.72322.1142.5Oct 6, 11:24 AM ET11:53 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:24 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.72322.1142.5Oct 6, 11:24 AM ET11:53 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:24 AM ET45.2426
Projected value at 11:53 AM ET4.8893
Actual value at 11:53 AM ET4.02426
Projected change across the window-40.3533
Actual change across the window-41.2184
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.98×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.98 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (11:43 AM ET), where they sat 0.0277213 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:24 AM ET) with a gap of 38.9563. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (11:34 AM ET), a move of -7.15221. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:25 AM4.2705740.7353+36.4647
611:30 AM1.5056334.7066+33.201
1211:36 AM0.5406167.04706+6.50644
1811:42 AM1.544211.47279-0.071415
2411:48 AM3.31214-0.493382-3.80552
2911:53 AM4.88934.02426-0.865037

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.