Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 10:42 AM to 11:11 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 10:42 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 4.66838. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:11 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.13612.3625.86Oct 6, 10:42 AM ET11:11 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:42 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.13612.3625.86Oct 6, 10:42 AM ET11:11 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:42 AM ET4.66838
Projected value at 11:11 AM ET-1.61258
Actual value at 11:11 AM ET9.80147
Projected change across the window-6.28097
Actual change across the window+5.13309
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.22×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.22 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 2 (10:43 AM ET), where they sat 0.00277668 apart, and furthest at bar 18 (11:00 AM ET) with a gap of 14.9251. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (11:03 AM ET), a move of -3.71103. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:43 AM4.850574.84779-0.00277668
610:48 AM14.61939.4125-5.20679
1210:54 AM13.861714.6118+0.750067
1811:00 AM12.465327.3904+14.9251
2411:06 AM5.3167913.989+8.67219
2911:11 AM-1.612589.80147+11.4141

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.