Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 10:19 AM to 10:48 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 10:19 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 13.9809. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:48 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.4143.06714.55Oct 6, 10:19 AM ET10:48 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:19 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.4143.06714.55Oct 6, 10:19 AM ET10:48 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:19 AM ET13.9809
Projected value at 10:48 AM ET7.13555
Actual value at 10:48 AM ET3.2875
Projected change across the window-6.84533
Actual change across the window-10.6934
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.64×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.64 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (10:27 AM ET), where they sat 0.00689793 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (10:34 AM ET) with a gap of 15.0686. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (10:31 AM ET), a move of -4.30662. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:20 AM14.286613.989-0.297627
610:25 AM8.235479.80147+1.566
1210:31 AM5.42733-5.63897-11.0663
1810:37 AM4.81291-5.96471-10.7776
2410:43 AM4.01916-0.755882-4.77505
2910:48 AM7.135553.2875-3.84805

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.