Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 5:55 AM to 6:24 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 5:55 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 5.76176. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:24 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-6.012.14710.3Oct 6, 5:55 AM ET6:24 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:55 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-6.012.14710.3Oct 6, 5:55 AM ET6:24 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:55 AM ET5.76176
Projected value at 6:24 AM ET-0.498523
Actual value at 6:24 AM ET11.3993
Projected change across the window-6.26029
Actual change across the window+5.6375
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.11×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.11 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (6:01 AM ET), where they sat 0.195739 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (6:24 AM ET) with a gap of 11.8978. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (6:08 AM ET), a move of +3.06397. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:56 AM-0.4393273.96176+4.40109
66:01 AM-2.255-2.45074-0.195739
126:07 AM-2.7796-4.32059-1.54099
186:13 AM-1.566537.72574+9.29227
246:19 AM-1.301861.91691+3.21877
296:24 AM-0.49852311.3993+11.8978

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.