Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 4:45 AM to 5:14 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 4:45 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -14.9559. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:14 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-13.76-2.9287.905Oct 6, 4:45 AM ET5:14 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:45 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-13.76-2.9287.905Oct 6, 4:45 AM ET5:14 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:45 AM ET-14.9559
Projected value at 5:14 AM ET1.32259
Actual value at 5:14 AM ET5.05882
Projected change across the window+16.2785
Actual change across the window+20.0147
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.81×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.81 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (5:11 AM ET), where they sat 0.166334 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (4:48 AM ET) with a gap of 17.3754. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (4:59 AM ET), a move of +3.16397. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:46 AM0.673654-15.2147-15.8884
64:51 AM5.35388-4.99632-10.3502
124:57 AM6.08589-1.98309-8.06898
185:03 AM5.392169.35956+3.9674
245:09 AM3.634555.28088+1.64633
295:14 AM1.322595.05882+3.73623

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.