Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 3:17 AM to 3:46 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 3:17 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 10.5963. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:46 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-2.4775.75513.99Oct 6, 3:17 AM ET3:46 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:17 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-2.4775.75513.99Oct 6, 3:17 AM ET3:46 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:17 AM ET10.5963
Projected value at 3:46 AM ET-3.5578
Actual value at 3:46 AM ET-3.58309
Projected change across the window-14.1541
Actual change across the window-14.1794
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.00×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.00 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (3:46 AM ET), where they sat 0.0252886 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (3:17 AM ET) with a gap of 8.31466. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (3:35 AM ET), a move of -3.15662. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:18 AM6.6509811.7456+5.09461
63:23 AM7.332168.27132+0.939168
123:29 AM7.9156214.886+6.97041
183:35 AM6.556784.47574-2.08105
243:41 AM1.688781.82794+0.139158
293:46 AM-3.5578-3.58309-0.0252886

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.