Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 3:02 AM to 3:31 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 3:02 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 10.1581. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:31 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.91-3.6948.518Oct 6, 3:02 AM ET3:31 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:02 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.91-3.6948.518Oct 6, 3:02 AM ET3:31 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:02 AM ET10.1581
Projected value at 3:31 AM ET-6.10377
Actual value at 3:31 AM ET-7.01838
Projected change across the window-16.2619
Actual change across the window-17.1765
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (3:25 AM ET), where they sat 0.828973 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (3:03 AM ET) with a gap of 20.0272. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (3:25 AM ET), a move of -5.30515. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:03 AM-12.39497.63235+20.0272
63:08 AM-17.44580.322794+17.7686
123:14 AM-14.099-3.19706+10.9019
183:20 AM-11.2856-0.664706+10.6208
243:26 AM-9.35425-12.6926-3.33839
293:31 AM-6.10377-7.01838-0.914612

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.