Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 1:37 AM to 2:06 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 1:37 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -21.2051. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:06 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-20.54-3.06314.42Oct 6, 1:37 AM ET2:06 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:37 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-20.54-3.06314.42Oct 6, 1:37 AM ET2:06 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:37 AM ET-21.2051
Projected value at 2:06 AM ET4.26611
Actual value at 2:06 AM ET9.20147
Projected change across the window+25.4713
Actual change across the window+30.4066
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.84×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.84 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (1:59 AM ET), where they sat 2.3815 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:37 AM ET) with a gap of 29.1766. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (1:56 AM ET), a move of +7.24265. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:38 AM7.39821-19.3074-26.7056
61:43 AM8.62578-16.6199-25.2456
121:49 AM6.91626-18.9081-25.8244
181:55 AM6.17524-15.7853-21.9605
242:01 AM6.4388415.1949+8.75602
292:06 AM4.266119.20147+4.93536

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.