Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 1:28 AM to 1:57 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 1:28 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -18.2581. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:57 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-20.54-3.06314.42Oct 6, 1:28 AM ET1:57 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:28 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-20.54-3.06314.42Oct 6, 1:28 AM ET1:57 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:28 AM ET-18.2581
Projected value at 1:57 AM ET4.33774
Actual value at 1:57 AM ET3.86618
Projected change across the window+22.5958
Actual change across the window+22.1243
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.02×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.02 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (1:56 AM ET), where they sat 0.210657 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:28 AM ET) with a gap of 26.0593. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (1:38 AM ET), a move of +7.24265. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:29 AM5.26267-18.586-23.8487
61:34 AM0.418668-22.8882-23.3069
121:40 AM0.6304743.4+2.76953
181:46 AM1.6672215.5463+13.8791
241:52 AM4.632368.95735+4.32499
291:57 AM4.337743.86618-0.471563

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.