Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 1:16 AM to 1:45 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 1:16 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -2.50074. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:45 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.317.55716.42Oct 6, 1:16 AM ET1:45 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:16 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.317.55716.42Oct 6, 1:16 AM ET1:45 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:16 AM ET-2.50074
Projected value at 1:45 AM ET5.62319
Actual value at 1:45 AM ET7.26103
Projected change across the window+8.12392
Actual change across the window+9.76176
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.83×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.83 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (1:41 AM ET), where they sat 0.0181847 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:16 AM ET) with a gap of 16.4825. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (1:17 AM ET), a move of +5.90074. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:17 AM15.47933.4-12.0793
61:22 AM16.892716.6816-0.211033
121:28 AM13.35987.59412-5.76564
181:34 AM9.769253.86618-5.90307
241:40 AM8.342737.69779-0.644934
291:45 AM5.623197.26103+1.63784

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.