Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 6, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 6, 2026, 1:15 AM to 1:44 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 6, 2026 at 1:15 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 8.69779. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:44 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

4.6310.3116Oct 6, 1:15 AM ET1:44 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:15 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

4.6310.3116Oct 6, 1:15 AM ET1:44 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:15 AM ET8.69779
Projected value at 1:44 AM ET5.70222
Actual value at 1:44 AM ET5.31544
Projected change across the window-2.99557
Actual change across the window-3.38235
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.89×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.89 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (1:36 AM ET), where they sat 0.081465 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (1:23 AM ET) with a gap of 6.60523. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (1:16 AM ET), a move of +4.54118. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:16 AM13.553913.239-0.314966
61:21 AM14.839212.0434-2.79584
121:27 AM11.688710.214-1.47475
181:33 AM8.720754.41985-4.3009
241:39 AM7.310998.85368+1.54269
291:44 AM5.702225.31544-0.386783

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.