Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 10:10 PM to 10:39 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 12.8676. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:39 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.22910.3319.43Oct 5, 10:10 PM ET10:39 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:10 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.22910.3319.43Oct 5, 10:10 PM ET10:39 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:10 PM ET12.8676
Projected value at 10:39 PM ET0.00661633
Actual value at 10:39 PM ET2.4875
Projected change across the window-12.861
Actual change across the window-10.3801
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.24×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.24 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (10:34 PM ET), where they sat 0.0936317 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (10:12 PM ET) with a gap of 18.593. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (10:11 PM ET), a move of +4.76765. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:11 PM0.93886817.6353+16.6964
610:16 PM2.4913816.5199+14.0285
1210:22 PM2.109183.94559+1.83641
1810:28 PM2.011561.78676-0.224795
2410:34 PM1.245341.33897+0.0936317
2910:39 PM0.006616332.4875+2.48088

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.