Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 10:08 PM to 10:37 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 10:08 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 17.6353. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:37 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-3.957.57919.11Oct 5, 10:08 PM ET10:37 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:08 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-3.957.57919.11Oct 5, 10:08 PM ET10:37 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:08 PM ET17.6353
Projected value at 10:37 PM ET-5.49793
Actual value at 10:37 PM ET2.30956
Projected change across the window-23.1332
Actual change across the window-15.3257
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.51×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.51 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (10:26 PM ET), where they sat 3.78571 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (10:09 PM ET) with a gap of 21.7528. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (10:14 PM ET), a move of -3.67279. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:09 PM-1.5197320.2331+21.7528
610:14 PM-0.4276812.8471+13.2747
1210:20 PM-1.404693.8625+5.26719
1810:26 PM-2.297481.48824+3.78571
2410:32 PM-4.412621.83824+6.25085
2910:37 PM-5.497932.30956+7.80749

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.