Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 8:59 PM to 9:28 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 8:59 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -29.0574. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:28 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-32.39-11.59.382Oct 5, 8:59 PM ET9:28 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:59 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-32.39-11.59.382Oct 5, 8:59 PM ET9:28 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:59 PM ET-29.0574
Projected value at 9:28 PM ET8.21723
Actual value at 9:28 PM ET12.1868
Projected change across the window+37.2746
Actual change across the window+41.2441
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.90×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.90 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (9:26 PM ET), where they sat 0.278638 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (9:01 PM ET) with a gap of 40.4461. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (9:17 PM ET), a move of +4.47647. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:00 PM4.0153-33.3132-37.3285
69:05 PM6.59522-27.2132-33.8085
129:11 PM7.93538-18.5691-26.5045
189:17 PM8.265040.631618-7.63342
249:23 PM8.475355.09559-3.37976
299:28 PM8.2172312.1868+3.96954

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.