Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 8:57 PM to 9:26 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 8:57 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -33.3132. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:26 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-32.2-9.87112.46Oct 5, 8:57 PM ET9:26 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:57 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-32.2-9.87112.46Oct 5, 8:57 PM ET9:26 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:57 PM ET-33.3132
Projected value at 9:26 PM ET7.22062
Actual value at 9:26 PM ET15.4551
Projected change across the window+40.5339
Actual change across the window+48.7684
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.83×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.83 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (9:22 PM ET), where they sat 0.2676 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (8:58 PM ET) with a gap of 38.6848. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (9:14 PM ET), a move of +4.47647. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:58 PM3.48846-35.1963-38.6848
69:03 PM2.78759-24.7074-27.4949
129:09 PM3.88985-16.6566-20.5465
189:15 PM5.334142.67206-2.66208
249:21 PM6.954816.25515-0.699663
299:26 PM7.2206215.4551+8.23453

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.