Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 8:24 PM to 8:53 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 8:24 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 23.9184. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:53 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2.21414.827.38Oct 5, 8:24 PM ET8:53 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:24 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2.21414.827.38Oct 5, 8:24 PM ET8:53 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:24 PM ET23.9184
Projected value at 8:53 PM ET9.65758
Actual value at 8:53 PM ET0.824265
Projected change across the window-14.2608
Actual change across the window-23.0941
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.62×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.62 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (8:37 PM ET), where they sat 0.0873617 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (8:26 PM ET) with a gap of 11.1622. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (8:25 PM ET), a move of +3.44412. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:25 PM16.993827.3625+10.3687
68:30 PM18.202827.1353+8.93249
128:36 PM14.64615.0699+0.423823
188:42 PM11.44721.061+9.61399
248:48 PM10.59485.53824-5.05658
298:53 PM9.657580.824265-8.83331

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.