Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 4:36 PM to 5:05 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 4:36 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 15.1985. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:05 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-18.35-2.63313.09Oct 5, 4:36 PM ET5:05 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:36 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-18.35-2.63313.09Oct 5, 4:36 PM ET5:05 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:36 PM ET15.1985
Projected value at 5:05 PM ET1.32294
Actual value at 5:05 PM ET4.40221
Projected change across the window-13.8756
Actual change across the window-10.7963
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.29×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.29 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (5:04 PM ET), where they sat 0.646544 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (4:46 PM ET) with a gap of 22.0454. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (4:41 PM ET), a move of -6.725. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:37 PM2.2330314.4537+12.2207
64:42 PM2.16477-7.49926-9.66403
124:48 PM1.63128-18.4103-20.0416
184:54 PM2.0253-8.17868-10.204
245:00 PM2.22386-6.0125-8.23636
295:05 PM1.322944.40221+3.07926

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.