Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 3:52 PM to 4:21 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 3:52 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 10.786. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:21 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-27.1-9.3488.402Oct 5, 3:52 PM ET4:21 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:52 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-27.1-9.3488.402Oct 5, 3:52 PM ET4:21 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:52 PM ET10.786
Projected value at 4:21 PM ET-7.85711
Actual value at 4:21 PM ET-2.45147
Projected change across the window-18.6431
Actual change across the window-13.2375
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.41×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.41 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (4:21 PM ET), where they sat 5.40564 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (3:58 PM ET) with a gap of 36.8489. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (4:01 PM ET), a move of -3.85515. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:53 PM-26.82758.34853+35.1761
63:58 PM-28.08348.76544+36.8489
124:04 PM-24.1568-7.01176+17.1451
184:10 PM-18.6334-0.932353+17.7011
244:16 PM-11.7982-3.29265+8.50552
294:21 PM-7.85711-2.45147+5.40564

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.