Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 3:04 PM to 3:33 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 3:04 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 22.0978. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:33 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.44213.2525.06Oct 5, 3:04 PM ET3:33 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:04 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.44213.2525.06Oct 5, 3:04 PM ET3:33 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:04 PM ET22.0978
Projected value at 3:33 PM ET5.41469
Actual value at 3:33 PM ET4.93309
Projected change across the window-16.6831
Actual change across the window-17.1647
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.97×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.97 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 5 (3:08 PM ET), where they sat 0.0288409 apart, and furthest at bar 18 (3:22 PM ET) with a gap of 19.4751. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (3:10 PM ET), a move of -3.95147. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:05 PM22.22424.1213+1.89727
63:10 PM25.869518.0809-7.78866
123:16 PM23.69978.85735-14.8423
183:22 PM19.48980.0147059-19.4751
243:28 PM11.9784.98456-6.99343
293:33 PM5.414694.93309-0.481597

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.