Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 1:24 PM to 1:53 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 1:24 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 10.3868. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:53 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2.21810.2618.3Oct 5, 1:24 PM ET1:53 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:24 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2.21810.2618.3Oct 5, 1:24 PM ET1:53 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:24 PM ET10.3868
Projected value at 1:53 PM ET1.13779
Actual value at 1:53 PM ET3.11838
Projected change across the window-9.24897
Actual change across the window-7.26838
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.27×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.27 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (1:38 PM ET), where they sat 0.295733 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (1:48 PM ET) with a gap of 7.51448. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (1:38 PM ET), a move of -4.20882. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:25 PM14.33112.2728-2.05819
61:30 PM15.527717.7529+2.2252
121:36 PM12.335917.6338+5.29794
181:42 PM6.553615.71618-0.837434
241:48 PM2.472289.98676+7.51448
291:53 PM1.137793.11838+1.98059

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.