Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 1:23 PM to 1:52 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 1:23 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 12.2728. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:52 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.2279.73218.24Oct 5, 1:23 PM ET1:52 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:23 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.2279.73218.24Oct 5, 1:23 PM ET1:52 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:23 PM ET12.2728
Projected value at 1:52 PM ET1.66994
Actual value at 1:52 PM ET0.0845588
Projected change across the window-10.6029
Actual change across the window-12.1882
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (1:23 PM ET), where they sat 0.153869 apart, and furthest at bar 23 (1:46 PM ET) with a gap of 6.28052. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (1:36 PM ET), a move of -4.20882. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:24 PM13.203714.7309+1.52718
61:29 PM14.842818.0331+3.19032
121:35 PM12.590914.5934+2.00248
181:41 PM7.159087.39853+0.239451
241:47 PM3.676719.05074+5.37402
291:52 PM1.669940.0845588-1.58538

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.