Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 11:45 AM to 12:14 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -7.51324. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:14 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-4.90314.5333.96Oct 5, 11:45 AM ET12:14 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:45 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-4.90314.5333.96Oct 5, 11:45 AM ET12:14 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:45 AM ET-7.51324
Projected value at 12:14 PM ET3.66571
Actual value at 12:14 PM ET1.68971
Projected change across the window+11.1789
Actual change across the window+9.20294
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.21×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.21 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 5 (11:49 AM ET), where they sat 0.239907 apart, and furthest at bar 14 (11:59 AM ET) with a gap of 21.6858. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (11:46 AM ET), a move of +8.38529. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:46 AM13.56640.872059-12.6944
611:51 AM14.953113.7772-1.17587
1211:57 AM14.843233.4816+18.6384
1812:03 PM11.852919.4596+7.6067
2412:09 PM6.9443513.7449+6.80051
2912:14 PM3.665711.68971-1.97601

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.