Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 11:33 AM to 12:02 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 11:33 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 33.4816. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:02 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.76816.234.16Oct 5, 11:33 AM ET12:02 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:33 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.76816.234.16Oct 5, 11:33 AM ET12:02 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:33 AM ET33.4816
Projected value at 12:02 PM ET-3.34851
Actual value at 12:02 PM ET12.8044
Projected change across the window-36.8301
Actual change across the window-20.6772
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.78×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.78 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (11:54 AM ET), where they sat 1.01857 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (11:35 AM ET) with a gap of 35.95. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (11:37 AM ET), a move of -5.67426. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:34 AM1.0178935.1426+34.1248
611:39 AM-0.16884119.4596+19.6284
1211:45 AM-2.4656813.7449+16.2105
1811:51 AM-4.100120.861029+4.96115
2411:57 AM-4.000242.58971+6.58994
2912:02 PM-3.3485112.8044+16.1529

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.