Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 11:28 AM to 11:57 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 11:28 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 22.2824. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:57 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-11.1312.2535.63Oct 5, 11:28 AM ET11:57 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:28 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-11.1312.2535.63Oct 5, 11:28 AM ET11:57 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:28 AM ET22.2824
Projected value at 11:57 AM ET-10.107
Actual value at 11:57 AM ET38.7647
Projected change across the window-32.3894
Actual change across the window+16.4824
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.97×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.97 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (11:44 AM ET), where they sat 9.84253 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (11:57 AM ET) with a gap of 48.8717. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (11:53 AM ET), a move of +6.52794. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:29 AM-7.2857919.4596+26.7454
611:34 AM-13.62715.1581+28.7851
1211:40 AM-13.72141.68971+15.4111
1811:46 AM-12.64640.8625+13.5089
2411:52 AM-10.868312.8044+23.6727
2911:57 AM-10.10738.7647+48.8717

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.