Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 9:24 AM to 9:53 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 9:24 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -2.525. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:53 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-13.06-0.626611.81Oct 5, 9:24 AM ET9:53 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:24 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-13.06-0.626611.81Oct 5, 9:24 AM ET9:53 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:24 AM ET-2.525
Projected value at 9:53 AM ET5.64578
Actual value at 9:53 AM ET-11.8772
Projected change across the window+8.17078
Actual change across the window-9.35221
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (9:39 AM ET), where they sat 0.0125153 apart, and furthest at bar 28 (9:52 AM ET) with a gap of 20.0516. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (9:48 AM ET), a move of -4.01691. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:25 AM12.18930.0117647-12.1775
69:30 AM12.42373.97059-8.4531
129:36 AM11.804712.7051+0.900452
189:42 AM8.843185.98897-2.8542
249:48 AM5.81913-4.40956-10.2287
299:53 AM5.64578-11.8772-17.523

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.