Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 8:46 AM to 9:15 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 8:46 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -49.9162. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:15 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-45.61-13.5518.5Oct 5, 8:46 AM ET9:15 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:46 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-45.61-13.5518.5Oct 5, 8:46 AM ET9:15 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:46 AM ET-49.9162
Projected value at 9:15 AM ET-6.94827
Actual value at 9:15 AM ET22.8081
Projected change across the window+42.9679
Actual change across the window+72.7243
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.59×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.59 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (8:58 AM ET), where they sat 0.358349 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:46 AM ET) with a gap of 37.0024. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (8:56 AM ET), a move of +9.26397. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:47 AM-11.4034-45.361-33.9576
68:52 AM-8.78505-39.5779-30.7929
128:58 AM-9.57915-9.9375-0.358349
189:04 AM-10.05071.14853+11.1992
249:10 AM-8.384589.24412+17.6287
299:15 AM-6.9482722.8081+29.7564

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.