Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 8:05 AM to 8:34 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 8:05 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 10.411. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:34 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-4.9665.76716.5Oct 5, 8:05 AM ET8:34 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:05 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-4.9665.76716.5Oct 5, 8:05 AM ET8:34 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:05 AM ET10.411
Projected value at 8:34 AM ET1.09496
Actual value at 8:34 AM ET-1.03676
Projected change across the window-9.31607
Actual change across the window-11.4478
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.81×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.81 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (8:18 AM ET), where they sat 0.2085 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:05 AM ET) with a gap of 9.88621. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (8:18 AM ET), a move of -4.11838. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:06 AM2.773799.33529+6.56151
68:11 AM7.455919.43529+1.97938
128:17 AM8.2357611.439+3.20322
188:23 AM4.484816.85515+2.37034
248:29 AM1.78118-3.3875-5.16868
298:34 AM1.09496-1.03676-2.13172

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.