Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 5:31 AM to 6:00 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 5:31 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -19.7949. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:00 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-18.33-7.2013.924Oct 5, 5:31 AM ET6:00 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:31 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-18.33-7.2013.924Oct 5, 5:31 AM ET6:00 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:31 AM ET-19.7949
Projected value at 6:00 AM ET-5.53877
Actual value at 6:00 AM ET-2.63603
Projected change across the window+14.2561
Actual change across the window+17.1588
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.83×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.83 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (5:31 AM ET), where they sat 0.0257187 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (5:51 AM ET) with a gap of 16.5339. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (5:48 AM ET), a move of +4.21544. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:32 AM-19.1824-16.6684+2.514
65:37 AM-19.059-13.4309+5.62809
125:43 AM-16.7592-13.136+3.62322
185:49 AM-13.53171.60147+15.1331
245:55 AM-8.050233.06103+11.1113
296:00 AM-5.53877-2.63603+2.90274

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.