Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 2:44 AM to 3:13 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 2:44 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -18.2397. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:13 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-27.22-15.92-4.623Oct 5, 2:44 AM ET3:13 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:44 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-27.22-15.92-4.623Oct 5, 2:44 AM ET3:13 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:44 AM ET-18.2397
Projected value at 3:13 AM ET-9.03581
Actual value at 3:13 AM ET-10.3279
Projected change across the window+9.2039
Actual change across the window+7.91176
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.16×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.16 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (3:13 AM ET), where they sat 1.29213 apart, and furthest at bar 12 (2:56 AM ET) with a gap of 11.3316. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (2:54 AM ET), a move of +3.40735. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:45 AM-26.4232-16.1066+10.3165
62:50 AM-24.1341-22.25+1.88409
122:56 AM-19.5808-8.24926+11.3316
183:02 AM-15.3981-8.45515+6.94297
243:08 AM-11.9279-4.00588+7.92206
293:13 AM-9.03581-10.3279-1.29213

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.