Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 12:54 AM to 1:23 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 12:54 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 10.0912. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:23 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-13.272.13117.53Oct 5, 12:54 AM ET1:23 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:54 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-13.272.13117.53Oct 5, 12:54 AM ET1:23 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:54 AM ET10.0912
Projected value at 1:23 AM ET-0.143634
Actual value at 1:23 AM ET19.5993
Projected change across the window-10.2348
Actual change across the window+9.50809
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.08×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.08 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (1:19 AM ET), where they sat 0.0303692 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (1:23 AM ET) with a gap of 19.7429. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (1:20 AM ET), a move of +6.66765. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:55 AM-3.753388.81471+12.5681
61:00 AM-4.345869.28824+13.6341
121:06 AM-4.699144.39779+9.09693
181:12 AM-4.82769-6.81471-1.98701
241:18 AM-3.43708-8.04632-4.60924
291:23 AM-0.14363419.5993+19.7429

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.