Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 12:53 AM to 1:22 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 12:53 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 8.81471. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:22 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-12.994.52822.04Oct 5, 12:53 AM ET1:22 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:53 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-12.994.52822.04Oct 5, 12:53 AM ET1:22 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:53 AM ET8.81471
Projected value at 1:22 AM ET-5.94593
Actual value at 1:22 AM ET24.3934
Projected change across the window-14.7606
Actual change across the window+15.5787
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (1:16 AM ET), where they sat 0.254024 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (1:22 AM ET) with a gap of 30.3393. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (1:18 AM ET), a move of +6.66765. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:54 AM-0.1009818.41838+8.51936
612:59 AM-6.3966310.0919+16.4885
121:05 AM-7.024164.24559+11.2697
181:11 AM-9.29257-11.0471-1.75449
241:17 AM-7.64079-3.33456+4.30623
291:22 AM-5.9459324.3934+30.3393

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.