Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 5, 2026, 12:52 AM to 1:21 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 5, 2026 at 12:52 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 8.81471. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:21 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-12.994.52822.04Oct 5, 12:52 AM ET1:21 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:52 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-12.994.52822.04Oct 5, 12:52 AM ET1:21 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:52 AM ET8.81471
Projected value at 1:21 AM ET-0.779925
Actual value at 1:21 AM ET24.3934
Projected change across the window-9.59463
Actual change across the window+15.5787
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.62×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.62 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (1:07 AM ET), where they sat 0.421395 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (1:21 AM ET) with a gap of 25.1733. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (1:17 AM ET), a move of +6.66765. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:53 AM7.971018.41838+0.447375
612:58 AM2.838310.0919+7.25362
121:04 AM1.481564.24559+2.76402
181:10 AM-1.57245-11.0471-9.47461
241:16 AM-1.47088-3.33456-1.86368
291:21 AM-0.77992524.3934+25.1733

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.