Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 4:58 AM to 5:27 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 4:58 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 21.2779. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:27 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.436713.3726.3Oct 1, 4:58 AM ET5:27 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:58 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.436713.3726.3Oct 1, 4:58 AM ET5:27 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:58 AM ET21.2779
Projected value at 5:27 AM ET2.25313
Actual value at 5:27 AM ET-1.11838
Projected change across the window-19.0248
Actual change across the window-22.3963
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.85×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.85 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (5:04 AM ET), where they sat 0.170228 apart, and furthest at bar 25 (5:23 AM ET) with a gap of 6.77647. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (5:19 AM ET), a move of -4.12426. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:59 AM25.384424.3735-1.01089
65:04 AM23.414323.5846+0.170228
125:10 AM13.317511.4412-1.87635
185:16 AM9.7055113.7169+4.0114
245:22 AM6.32667-0.195588-6.52225
295:27 AM2.25313-1.11838-3.37151

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.