Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 4:51 AM to 5:20 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 4:51 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 22.1882. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:20 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.0459.84120.73Oct 1, 4:51 AM ET5:20 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:51 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.0459.84120.73Oct 1, 4:51 AM ET5:20 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:51 AM ET22.1882
Projected value at 5:20 AM ET1.80515
Actual value at 5:20 AM ET0.285294
Projected change across the window-20.3831
Actual change across the window-21.9029
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.93×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.93 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (5:00 AM ET), where they sat 0.221234 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:51 AM ET) with a gap of 22.7183. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (5:05 AM ET), a move of -4.12426. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:52 AM3.6266621.5699+17.9432
64:57 AM11.23589.86691-1.36887
125:03 AM10.384513.8772+3.49272
185:09 AM4.36131-1.3-5.66131
245:15 AM3.89315-2.50662-6.39977
295:20 AM1.805150.285294-1.51986

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.