Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 1:29 AM to 1:58 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 1:29 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 18.1676. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:58 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

13.4824.435.31Oct 1, 1:29 AM ET1:58 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:29 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

13.4824.435.31Oct 1, 1:29 AM ET1:58 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:29 AM ET18.1676
Projected value at 1:58 AM ET12.0151
Actual value at 1:58 AM ET24.2279
Projected change across the window-6.15258
Actual change across the window+6.06029
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.02×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.02 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (1:42 AM ET), where they sat 3.25615 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:29 AM ET) with a gap of 15.3783. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (1:42 AM ET), a move of +5.44926. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:30 AM34.537421.8765-12.6609
61:35 AM33.880127.2574-6.62274
121:41 AM27.547624.161-3.38656
181:47 AM22.093831.7368+9.64295
241:53 AM14.877924.5919+9.71397
291:58 AM12.015124.2279+12.2129

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.