Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, October 1, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers October 1, 2026, 1:18 AM to 1:47 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On October 1, 2026 at 1:18 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 24.161. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:47 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

8.1421.5634.97Oct 1, 1:18 AM ET1:47 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:18 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

8.1421.5634.97Oct 1, 1:18 AM ET1:47 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:18 AM ET24.161
Projected value at 1:47 AM ET8.87855
Actual value at 1:47 AM ET13.6625
Projected change across the window-15.2825
Actual change across the window-10.4985
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.46×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.46 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (1:43 AM ET), where they sat 1.05882 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (1:34 AM ET) with a gap of 9.90418. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (1:19 AM ET), a move of +5.44926. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:19 AM28.384329.6103+1.22604
61:24 AM25.557531.7368+6.17925
121:30 AM20.845724.5919+3.7462
181:36 AM15.266821.2088+5.94203
241:42 AM11.12587.40588-3.71987
291:47 AM8.8785513.6625+4.78395

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.